stonkbuilderCOMMUNITY JupiterPredict

Trade tutorial

Trade on real-world events with Predict

Predict lets you buy YES or NO contracts on events in sports, crypto, politics and more. A winning contract pays $1, so its price reads like the market's odds.[1]

  • 3 min read
  • Beginner
  • Checked 26 Sep 2026
Best for
Expressing a view on an outcome, with a loss capped at what you spend.
You'll need
  • A Solana wallet, such as Jupiter Wallet, Jupiter Mobile, Phantom or Solflare
  • The token the market uses, shown before you sign
  • A little SOL for network fees
Cost
Fees are built into the quote; some sports ticket markets charge none
Open Predict
Worked example · illustrative numbers

YES at 65 cents

Price reads like the odds

65%35%
  • YES · $0.65
  • NO · $0.35
Your order
SideYES
You spend$65.00
Contracts100 at $0.65
Market settles100 YES contracts
It happens$100.00100 × $1 · a $35 gain
It doesn't$0.00You lose the $65
A YES contract trades at $0.65, roughly a 65% chance. $65 buys 100 contracts. If the event happens they pay $100, a $35 gain; if not, they pay nothing and you lose the $65.

Step by step

  1. Find a market

    Open Predict, browse by category or search, and open an event.

  2. Pick YES or NO

    Choose the outcome you want to back next to its price.

  3. Enter an amount

    The quote shows how many contracts you get and the payout if you are right.

  4. Confirm and sign

    Unused funds come back automatically if the order only partly fills.

  5. Exit or claim

    Sell early at the current price where allowed, or claim your payout in Profile once the market settles.

Open Predict

Good to know

  • A winning contract pays $1 worth of the market's settlement asset; a losing one pays nothing.[2]
  • Trading fees are included in the quote rather than shown as a separate line.[2]
  • Limit orders are limit buys on Polymarket-sourced markets only; some ticket markets are market orders held to settlement, with no early sell.[1][2]
  • Degen offers short crypto price markets and Arcade runs one-minute BTC and SOL Up or Down rounds.[1]

Sources

  1. Using Predict docs.jup.ag/user-docs/trade/predict/get-started
  2. How Predict works docs.jup.ag/user-docs/trade/predict/how-it-works

Checked against Jupiter's documentation on 26 Sep 2026. Products change; the linked pages are the source of truth.